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03/14/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Two of the Western Conference's top teams jockey for playoff position in Oklahoma City Sunday as Kevin Durant and the Thunder welcome the Utah Jazz to town.
The Jazz are currently the fourth seed in the jumbled West, 1 1/2 games ahead of No. 5 Oklahoma City.
Utah fell to 2-1 on a four-game road trip Friday in Milwaukee when John Salmons scored 24 points and hit a pair of important free throws with less than 20 seconds to go, as the Bucks continued an impressive homestand with a 95-87 win over the Jazz.
Carlos Boozer paced the Jazz with 26 points and 14 boards before being ejected in the final seconds, and Utah had a four-game win streak snapped. Mehmet Okur contributed 20 points and 11 rebounds, and C.J. Miles had 17 points in a reserve role.
Deron Williams scored 11 points, dished out nine assists and grabbed six boards for Utah.
"They made us hurry on a couple things, they forced us out on the floor," Jazz head coach Jerry Sloan said of the Bucks. "They did a great job, they played extremely well and they made the shots they had to win the ball game."
Utah played most of the second half against the Bucks without forward Andrei Kirilenko, who strained his left calf, while Williams aggravated a left shoulder injury.
Kirilenko is questionable for tonight's game but Williams is expected to play for Utah, which hasn't lost back-to-back games since a three-game losing streak from Dec. 31-Jan. 4.
The Thunder, meanwhile, were a bit lackadaisical in their last affair but came out on top of a 104-102 decision over the hapless New Jersey Nets on Friday. Kevin Durant poured in 32 points and pulled down 12 rebounds in that one.
Durant's 30-point game was his 36th this season, breaking Spencer Haywood's franchise mark set from the 1972-73 season.
Jeff Green had a season-high 27 points to go with six rebounds for the Thunder, who have won four in a row overall. Russell Westbrook tallied 11 points and 10 assists. Nenad Krstic and Nick Collison each registered 10 points for Oklahoma City, which has also won five straight on its home floor.
"He's unstoppable," Durant said of Green. "He's so strong going to the basket, he can shoot the three. He has one of the best pump-fakes in the game, so that allows him to get to the rim as well. He's so athletic too, so he did a great job of getting us going early today."
The Thunder have won both games against the Jazz so far this season, including an 87-86 thriller on Dec. 31 at the Ford Center.
<< Heat host hapless Sixers
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Miami Heat continue their push toward a postseason
berth when they host the lowly Philadelphia 76ers on Sunday.
The Heat are coming off a huge win over Chicago on Friday in which Quentin
Richardson made 7-of-11 three-p
<< Sharks visit Ducks aiming for season series sweep
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - After three straight come-from-behind victories, the Sharks
finally ran out of magic on Saturday. Good thing they haven't need much when
facing the Ducks this year.
San Jose kicks off a six-game road trip this evening vers
<< Thrashers shoot for rare victory over Coyotes
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Thrashers couldn't have picked a worse time to post
their second-longest losing streak of the season. A visit from the Coyotes on
Sunday could extend the winless drought by another game.
Atlanta will try to snap a five
<< Surging Bucks shoot for season sweep of Pacers
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The red-hot Milwaukee Bucks continue their push to the
postseason Sunday when they attempt to sweep Central Division rival Indiana
for the first time in nearly 30 years.
The Bucks have already beaten the Pacers three times
Suns resume homestand vs. fading Hornets >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Phoenix Suns hope to get back on the winning track
Sunday when they resume a season-long seven-game homestand against the
fading New Orleans Hornets at US Airways Center.
The Suns fell to 1-2 on their residency Friday
Wolves, Kings clash in Sacramento >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Two teams headed for the NBA Draft Lottery tangle in
Sacramento tonight as the Kings play host to the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Sacramento lost for the fourth time in five outings on Friday when Brandon Roy
poured in 28 poin
Reeling Raptors finish road trip in Portland >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The reeling Toronto Raptors haven't been playing like a
team headed toward the postseason and will try and salvage the finale of a
four-game road trip Sunday night against the surging Portland Trail Blazers.
The Raptors fe
James, Cavs welcome Celtics to the "Q" >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A pair of Eastern Conference heavyweights clash Sunday
afternoon as LeBron James and his Cleveland Cavaliers play host to the Boston
Celtics.
James returned to the Cavaliers lineup Friday in Philadelphia after missing a
p
Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."
When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules.
The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.
The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.
“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”
The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.
“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”
The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.
“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”
Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.
“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."
So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?
“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.
Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.
Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.
Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.
“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.
Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.
The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.
“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.
Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.
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Eastern Conference Playoff Betting Trends
We all know by now that the “public” loves to put their money on the FAVORITES and the OVERS. Just by taking a quick glance at Sportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends” it appears as is this tendency will continue as far as the Eastern Conference games are concerned. For the inaugural games of the first round, 69% of the early money is on Toronto -4.5; 59% of bettors prefer Chicago -4.5; 84% are backing Detroit -9; and 56% think Cleveland -11.5 is the way to go. As far as TOTALS are concerned, the only UNDER the “public” is backing is the Cleveland/ Washington game in which 83% are pounding the UNDER (190). Remember, there is no better way to predict a possible line change than by monitoring MySportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends”. By determining who the “public” is backing, you can get the most ideal line for your bet. For example, if you are siding with the public you better place your bet before the line moves in the wrong direction. On the other side of the coin, if you prefer the team that the “public” is betting against; you might be able to get and extra ½ or even more by placing your bet a bit later. Under the “Betting Trends” section, Sportsbook.com also provides plenty of statistical data and trends in order for the bettor to make the most informed pick. Below are some extremely important trends for the first round opponents of the Eastern Conference match-ups, more can be found at MySportsbook.com
New Jersey Nets vs. Toronto Raptors
Toronto was the most reliable covering team this season with a 48-33-1 ATS record but covered the OVER only 41.5% of the time.
The last 20 times these teams have played, the TOTAL has gone UNDER 16 times.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Toronto is 33-19 ATS including 17-9 at home.
New Jersey has covered four games in a row while Toronto has failed to cover their last four games.
When playing a team with a winning record during the second half of the season, New Jersey was just 5-13 ATS this season.
After scoring 105 points or more, Toronto has covered the OVER only 28% of the time this season.
Miami Heat @ Chicago Bulls
Miami has failed to cover their last 7 games whereas Chicago has covered 6 out of their last 8 games.
Miami has covered the UNDER in four of their last five games whereas Chicago has covered the UNDER in five out of their last six.
When playing on Saturdays, Miami covered 80% of their games this season.
Away from home, Chicago is just 16-25 ATS this season.
At home, Miami covered the UNDER about 66% of the time whereas Chicago covered the UNDER about 61% of the time.
The last 13 times these teams have played each other, Chicago has covered 9 times.
In Miami’s last 11 road games, the UNDER covered 9 times.
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons
Detroit has covered 5 out of their last 6 games.
Away from home, Detroit is 28-13 ATS but just 14-26-1 ATS at home.
At home, Orlando covered the UNDER 64% of the time while Detroit covered the UNDER in 63% of their away games.
The last five times these teams have played in Detroit, the OVER covered each time.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Detroit is 8-17-1 ATS at home but 17-9 ATS away.
Detroit covered the spread 5 out of the last 6 times they played Orlando.
After a Division game, Orlando covered the UNDER 87% of the time this season.
Washington Wizards @ Cleveland Cavaliers
In a home game where the TOTAL is between 190 and 194.5 points, Cleveland is 9-1 ATS this season.
Washington has covered the UNDER in their last 6 games and in 8 of their last 9 games.
The last 6 times these teams have played each other, the UNDER covered each time.
When playing on 3 or more days of rest, Washington is just 18-37 ATS since 1996.
Since 1996, Washington is 28-16 ATS versus Cleveland including 11-5 over the last 3 seasons.
In their last 7 road games, Washington is 6-1 ATS.
Versus Eastern Conference teams at home, Washington is just 6-18-2 ATS.
For even more betting trends for not just the NBA but for all of the major sports, log on to Sportsbook.com and click on “Trends”. With only two months left in the NBA betting season it is important to be as well informed as possible in order to maximize your profit. Also for all of you poker players, check out MySportsbook.com’s “WSOP Low Bid Auction”. You could be on your way to Vegas to play against the world’s best poker players for under a buck.
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